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BASN RUNS FOR THE ROSES!
Can Carpe Diem…Carpe Diem?
By Michael – Louis Ingram, Editor-in-Chief
PHILADELPHIA (BASN) The 141st edition of the Kentucky Derby will provide probably one of the strongest fields in recent history.
The two predominant storylines will be in trainer Bob Baffert’s efforts to snag Derby win number four with two dynamite horses (Dortmund and current favorite American Pharoah); juxtaposed with Todd Pletcher’s role as spoiler with the very capable Carpe Diem.
Because of the large field and the unpredictability of negotiating a trip over the mile –and-a-quarter distance, our strategy is to cut the field in half. So here’s what we’re working with post position, trainer and jockey:
Carpe Diem (2) Pletcher, John Velasquez; Danzig Moon (5) Casse, Julien Leparoux; Dortmund (8) Baffert, Martin Garcia; Bolo (9) Gaines, Rafael Bejarano; Frosted (15) McLaughlin, Joel Rosario; American Pharoah (18) Baffert, Victor Espinoza; Firing Line (10) Callaghan, Stevens; Tencendur (4) Weaver, Manny Franco; Itsaknockout (13) Pletcher, Luis Saez…
For that we have skulled out possibilities with our Bloodlines Babe, Jennifer Thibodeaux Bourque. “Danzig Moon is one that jumps out at me. The Danzig bloodline is old and bold. He was a great champion – and many of his babies were as well.”
There’s a reason why American Pharoah is the current favorite. Ms. Thibodeaux Bourque says simply – he’s loaded. “He’s a son of a champion (Empire Maker), and grandson of Unbridled, another champ who won the Derby in 1990. He gets his speed from his mom’s side (Littleprincessemma) – so that combination of speed and ability to get it at the distance makes him hard to beat.”
My Canadian connection Roger Bell (aka Roast Beef) and Thibodeaux Bourque like longshot Bolo to prime the exotic pots as well; Bolo is out of Temple City, who was a son of Dynaformer. “He’s got that ‘Slew’ blood in him, too (Chief Seattle – son of Triple Crown champion Seattle Slew), says Thibodeaux Bourque. “Actually, I’m looking at American Pharoah, Frosted and Bolo in the mix at the finish.”
So where does that leave Carpe Diem? Currently at 8-1, I feel he’s versatile enough to either stalk or trail and still have enough Hoss Power to kick it in high down the strength. American Pharaoh’s last win in the Arkansas Derby was impressive as he drew away on their short backstretch at Oaklawn Park. The longer backstretch at Churchill Downs should give those jockeys sittin’ on some Hoss late a better gauge in which to send them driving to the wire; and in that regard – I’m assigning “Baby Cordero” – John Velasquez – to get up in time for Todd Pletcher.
Here’s the play: $5 across the board on #2 – Carpe Diem – $15
$6 exacta box Carpe Diem #2 and #18 American Pharoah – $12
$1 trifecta wheel #2 Carpe Diem and #18 American Pharoah with #2, #5, #18, with 2, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, 13, 15, and 18 – $27
$1 superfecta partial 2, 5 with 2, 5, 18, with 2, 5, 9, 18, with 2, 4, 5, 9, 10, 13, 15, 18 – $32
$1 superfecta partial 18, with 2, 5, 9, with 2, 5, 9, 10, 13 – $18
Total – $104.00
As always we make our own plays – so if we catch and you’re following, you will too. Good luck and as they thunder down the backstretch, don’t forget to scream at the top of your lungs:
WORK THAT NOBLE BEAST!!!!
Copyright © Michael – Louis Ingram 2015 all rights reserved.