This N’ That With Tony Mack: NFL Picks: Week 11

By Tony McClean
Updated: November 18, 2004

NEW HAVEN, Ct. — This week’s opening paragraph of NFL Picks has not been approved by ABC, the NFL, or their advertisers. For sanity’s sake, I want you to know that I’m fully clothed while making these picks.

I have no desire to take this week off to promote my newest R&B single,”Take Me Back To Ol’ Lovetron”. I’ll let my manager, Darryl Dawkins (HE”S NOT BUSY NOW) do it all for me.

But enough about me, lets talk football.

FACTOID OF THE WEEK Though 100 yards has long been the standard of a great rushing performance, Seattle’s Shaun Alexander has set his sites higher in recent weeks. Alexander has posted three straight 150-yard games, rushing for 531 yards in that span and leading the Seahawks to wins in two of three contests.

Sunday vs the Dolphins, the fifth-year pro who leads the NFL with 1,055 yards rushing, will attempt to become the first player in nearly a quarter of a century to rush for 150 yards in four consecutive games.

Hall of Famer Earl Campbell is the only player in NFL history to accomplish the feat. He did it in 1980, en route to rushing for an NFL-best 1,934 yards for the Houston Oilers, as well as the all-time high with seven 150-yard games in a single-season.

LAST WEEK: 7-7 (80-65 on the year) These are weeks that try men’s souls. How else do you explain the Saints beating the Chiefs in a shootout or even the Bears defeating the Titans (ON A SAFETY, A SAFETY??). We did have the Packers and Bengals, but got severely burned by the Giants, Jets, and Bills (sorry, Roland).

SUNDAY FALCONS at GIANTS Hide the women and children, there’s another Manning in town. Little Ol’ Eli gets the nod for the Giants after a dreadful loss in the desert. However, he’ll immediately find out what Kurt Warner already knows. It’s damn tough to play with four or five guys from the opposition in your backfield on the first snap. Expect a diet of blitzes from another favorite son, Jim Mora Jr. Eli does have more mobility than Warner, and he’s gonna need it.

Pick: Falcons.

LIONS at VIKINGS Both teams are coming off last gasps losses on the road. Minnesota made a great comeback at Lambeau, but left Brett Favre too much time on the clock and lost a heart breaker. The boys from Motown rallied as well, but left Jimmy Smith uncovered late and fell in overtime. The Purple Gang is reeling after three straight losses and they need this one bad. But remember, the Lions are decent on the road. I may regret this, but make it four straight for Minny.

Pick: Lions.

JETS at BROWNS Gang Green is still reeling from last week’s ugly, ugly home loss to the Ravens. The Brownies lost the fight and the game with the Steelers last week. Here’s hoping that Reverend Herm and Paul Hackett will open up the offense a little bit more for Quincy Carter this week. It won’t be easy because Cleveland’s defense has been respectable at times this year. Maybe John Abraham can pick a fight with Lee Suggs during the pregame warm ups.

Pick: Jets.

PACKERS at TEXANS At this time last year, the Pack was 4-5. However, they rallied down the stretch and with a little help from Arizona’s Nate Poole (remember him?), they went on to win the NFC North. The Cheeseheads now sit atop those standings as they face a Houston team whose playoff hopes are dwindling week-by-week. Since defeating the Jags in Week Eight, the Texans have been flattened in two road games. This week could be do or die for Houston.

Pick: Packers.

MONDAY PATRIOTS at CHIEFS It’s been back to normal for the Pats since the loss to the Steelers. New England has dismissed the Rams and Bills and appear to be poised to make a serious run at regaining home field advantage for the playoffs. Just when you thought K.C. had a playoff run left in them, the Chiefs lose a pair of shootouts with Tampa and New Orleans. It also looks like Priest Holmes won’t play Monday night as well. No truth to the rumor that he was last seen with Teri Hatcher.

Pick: Pats.

OTHER GAMES Ravens over Cowboys: Can it get any worse for the Tuna Helpers? Vinny, say hello to Ray Lewis. (POW!!!!) Rams over Bills: Sorry, I can’t pick the Bills two weeks straight just to get burned again.

Colts over Bears: Chicago will keep it close, for about five minutes.

Bengals over Steelers: Big Ben is great, but the streak’s gotta end sometime.

Jaguars over Titans: Like two ships in the night, these teams are going in opposite directions.

Broncos over Saints: New Orleans gets thrown back to reality.

Bucs over 49ers: Tampa still entertains hopes of a post season run.

Cardinals over Panthers: A couple of more wins and you may have to make Denny Green Coach of The Year.

Chargers over Raiders: The Bolts bandwagon gets bigger and bigger every week. They’ll add a few more seats after Sunday.

Seahawks over Dolphins: Just what the doctor ordered for Seattle.

Eagles over Redskins: Patrick Ramsey gets approached by Roseanne before the game. Hopefully, Fox won’t show it (YECCH!!!).